The simplest table I’ve seen so far about hospitalizations and deaths prevented by the vaccine

Ed Note: Ashish K Jha, MD, MPH from Harvard has reminded us in this tweet two days ago that all vaccines so far show very impressive results in preventing hospitalizations and deaths.

Am often asked about different vaccines and their efficacy Each trials tracks, reports efficacy differently Currently, we have preliminary results for Novavax and J&J But what numbers matter? What should you look for? Here’s one set of data to track. In a simple table

Image
Posted in Health | Comments Off on The simplest table I’ve seen so far about hospitalizations and deaths prevented by the vaccine

Negotiations

Want to Learn English Through Comics? 15 Incredible Books You Need to Read  | FluentU English
Posted in Humor | Comments Off on Negotiations

If you need some laughs!

Thanks to Sally S.

A cold seat in a public restroom is unpleasant. A warm seat is worse.

Apparently when RSVP’ing to a wedding invitation, “Maybe next time” isn’t the correct response.
Don’t irritate old people. The older we get the less “life in prison” is a deterrent.

Have you ever listened to someone for a minute and thought, “Their cornbread ain’t done in the middle.”
Aliens probably fly by earth and lock their doors.

You will hit every cone on the highway before I let you merge in front of me because you saw that sign 2 miles ago like I did.

I asked my wife if I was the only one she had been with. She said yes, all the others were nines and tens…

I really don’t mind getting older, but my body is taking it badly.

It turns out that being an adult is mostly just googling how to do stuff.

I miss the 90’s, when bread was still good for you and no one knew what kale was.

Do you ever get up in the morning, look in the mirror and think, “That can’t be accurate.”

I want to be 14 again and ruin my life differently. I have new ideas.

As I watch this generation try to rewrite our history, one thing I’m sure of… it will be misspelled and have no punctuation.

I thought getting old would take longer.

Confuse your doctor by putting on rubber gloves at the same time he does.

My wife asked me to take her to one of those restaurants where they make food right in front of you. I took her to Subway. That’s when the fight started.

Me: Sobbing my heart out, “I can’t see you anymore… I’m not going to let you hurt me again.” Trainer: “It was one sit-up. You did one sit-up.”

Picked up a hitchhiker. He asked if I wasn’t afraid he might be a serial killer? I told him the odds of two serial killers being in the same car were extremely unlikely.

I went line dancing last night. OK, it was a roadside sobriety test… same thing.

Posted in Humor | 1 Comment

End homeless tent encampments with compassion and accountability

By Tim Burgess Special to The Times

The tents, dilapidated vehicles and piles of trash you see in almost every Seattle neighborhood have become an enduring fixture. So has the human suffering.

We should quickly prioritize addressing these tent encampments and follow the lead of other cities that have successfully tackled this issue. Since 2015, when the mayor declared a homelessness emergency, we have spent hundreds of millions of taxpayer dollars — and there are success stories to tell — but, tragically, there is no comprehensive plan to remove these illegal tent encampments or to help those living in them. Not now. Not any time this year or next. Not in five years. They are essentially permanent.

That’s because the Seattle City Council’s preferred approach has been tolerance and accommodation, evidenced by its elimination last fall, despite Mayor Jenny Durkan’s strong objection, of the navigation teams — outreach workers paired with police officers — that successfully nudged people in encampments to accept shelter and social services.

The City Council’s laissez faire approach furthers the terrible damage of substance-abuse and mental-health disorders for the majority of encampment dwellers. It’s also an approach that denies the public access to parks, sidewalks and greenspaces. It enables criminal behavior that harms neighbors, businesses and other campers. It creates piles of trash and unsanitary conditions. It harms our tourism and hospitality industry, a key jobs-producing component of Seattle’s eventual economic recovery. It’s appallingly misguided, worsened by the council’s convoluted and confusing rules and regulations designed to prevent, or at least delay, the removal of any encampment.  

There is a much better, more humane way forward.

Let’s implement a specific plan that is both compassionate in meeting urgent human needs and fulfills city government’s public health and safety obligations. A plan designed to remove encampments and prevent their return, to restore access to our parks and public spaces for everyone’s enjoyment, to help campers by providing enhanced substance-abuse and mental-health services. A plan that no longer ignores or excuses the criminal behavior — assault, burglary of homes, businesses and cars, arson, theft — of some unsheltered individuals that has created chaos in parts of the city and shattered confidence in the city government.

Look at the facts.

Our parks, sidewalks, streets, freeway rights of way and greenspaces have become “home” to an estimated 3,738 individuals, almost one-half (46%) of Seattle’s total homeless population, according to the latest (January 2020) point-in-time count. Most of the unsheltered population reports living with mental-health or substance-abuse challenges, often both.

It’s clear we need a new, more purposeful approach or the encampments will continue to grow in number. And we should move quickly to prepare for better weather and the decline of the COVID-19 pandemic when park usage will soar.

The plan should meet the medical needs of campers — a major cause of their unsheltered living — by providing truly on-demand treatment for those with substance-abuse disorder or mental-health challenges. “On demand” means available the moment someone acknowledges a need for help: not next week or next month, not placement on a waiting list, but right now. Treatment services — both inpatient and outpatient options — should follow the science of what works best based on rigorous, independent, published evaluations.

The plan should recognize that these services won’t provide a quick cure, yet a long-term commitment to a patient’s recovery is essential. These services should use whatever state and county government funding is available but recognize that repurposed city funding will be needed to serve the target population effectively. We should stop waiting for another level of government to step up; the cost of inaction is devastating.

The plan should speed up Mayor Durkan’s surge strategy, including Monday’s announcement of a public-private partnership, to help accelerate the creation of more enhanced shelter capacity, tiny houses and rented hotel rooms to quickly move unsheltered people into safer, cleaner, warmer places.

Importantly, the plan must require written service plans for each unsheltered individual, a key success element endorsed by national experts and a dramatic shift from Seattle’s highly informal ad hoc outreach approach. The city recently funded additional outreach services but did not specify performance outcomes, allowing a dozen or so nonprofit organizations to use their own methodologies and success criteria. The plan should divide the city into service regions so outreach teams have a specific geographic area of responsibility, a change that will significantly increase accountability.

The plan should use a focused deterrence approach to criminal behavior, employing a range of interventions including arrest and prosecution, if necessary. This is not, as some claim, “the criminalization of homelessness.” It’s a considered response to specific people who are engaged in destructive, ongoing acts of violence or persistent criminal behaviors that significantly harm others, including other unsheltered persons. It is behavior focused, not homelessness focused.

The plan should recommit city government to the new but not yet operational Regional Homeless Authority, acknowledging that homelessness and encampments are a regional problem that requires a shared response with high accountability measures and regular public progress reports.

The plan should require either acceptance of services — such as shelter, temporary housing and treatment services — or removal, strongly encouraging people to choose but not allowing continued camping.

And, finally, the plan should acknowledge the importance of permanent, low barrier supportive housing — a “housing first” approach — because so many of the unsheltered are chronically homeless with serious addiction and mental-health needs. To reestablish their lives, they need a safe, warm and welcoming place with supportive health and social services.

Delivered on Tuesday mornings, this email brings you the best in Opinion, from editorials to letters to the editor, and a preview of what lies ahead.Sign up

This new plan will be expensive — primarily because of the need to significantly increase access to treatment services — but it’s doable with a reallocation of existing city funds. It will require a fierce determination to achieve desired outcomes and to resist the many competing interests that have crippled the city’s ability to successfully address the encampments.

Is this all a pie-in-the-sky fantasy? Could we actually serve our unsheltered and chronically homeless population better? The answer is absolutely “yes” because other cities have already done it. Look at Bakersfield-Kern County, California. Or Bergen County, New Jersey. Or Abilene, Texas. Each of these jurisdictions — along with more than 75 others across the country — joined Community Solutions, a national nonprofit organization, and rigorously followed their step-by-step process to reduce the unsheltered homeless population. It is a successful model Seattle should follow, and quickly.

A plan like this can eliminate unsafe encampments and start hundreds of individuals on a path to safe, stable and healthier lives. Wouldn’t that be worth it?Tim Burgess is a former Seattle City Council member and interim mayor.

Posted in Advocacy, Homeless | 1 Comment

What works – 4 visitors to Saturday Night Live

Posted in Health, Humor, Politics, Sports | Comments Off on What works – 4 visitors to Saturday Night Live

Trends are improving

If you’re a data geek, you may enjoy this update sent by Sue P.

Posted in Health | Comments Off on Trends are improving

From Rep. Frank Chopp

Dear friends and neighbors,

Right now, a lot is happening in the state Legislature. I wanted to let you know some of the actions we are taking to address the challenges facing people in the 43rd District and across Washington state.

To provide your point of view or to ask questions, please feel free to reach out to my office by emailing my legislative assistant, Daniel Lugo, at Daniel.Lugo@leg.wa.gov) or calling 206-905-6681.


A major priority:  Fair Start for Our Kids 

Child Care and Early Learning

Even before the COVID-19 pandemic, the child care system was in crisis. Now it’s in danger of collapse. Already, it is already costing Washington businesses more than $2 billion a year, and working parents are forgoing $14 billion a year in lost wages due to the lack of access to affordable child care. As a result, large numbers of parents are leaving the workforce or reducing hours and take-home pay. It’s clear that Washington’s child care market is broken and too many children and families are bearing the consequences.

But we know how to proceed!  State Representative Tana Senn, Senator Claire Wilson and I are leading the charge for the Fair Start for Kids Act (House Bill 1277).  Our proposal is a multi-faceted approach to address the child care crisis, help the economy recover, and promote social and racial equity. The bill aims to make child care and early learning more affordable for families, stabilize and support the diverse child care workforce, and expand child care and early learning access to many more kids.

This past week, parents, employers, and child care providers testified in support of the bill in the Children, Youth & Families Committee. They teleconferenced into the committee from their homes and workplaces to share their moving stories. You can watch the full public hearing here. This year, we have a window of opportunity to take action for our kids, our jobs, and our future!

Child care is incredibly important to employers and our overall economy.  After all, why do employees need child care?  To go to work!  In addition, so many people say that “early learning is the best investment we can make.”  We need to turn that rhetoric into reality in the state budget – and provide funding with new progressive tax revenue, with a Fair Share Contribution from corporations doing well even in this current economy!

Fair Share for Child Care! 

Posted in Government | Comments Off on From Rep. Frank Chopp

I wish I spoke Italian–or maybe not!

Thanks to Paul T.

Posted in Humor | Comments Off on I wish I spoke Italian–or maybe not!

Community approaches to misinformation

Thanks to Mary M.

Posted in Advocacy, Social justice | 1 Comment

I’m busy

Peanuts comic strip made out of duct tape : peanuts
Posted in Humor | Comments Off on I’m busy

UW Covid Symposium 1/28/21

Find out what’s happening on the Pine Ridge Indian Reservation; Medic 1; the Medical Examiner’s office; and a new drug. It’s a little techie, but may be of interest to some. Click this link then hit the play button to watch: http://bit.ly/3orMtAv

Posted in Health | Comments Off on UW Covid Symposium 1/28/21

Update on the current epidemic – and what the future holds

Ed note: About one-third of the US population has been infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus so far–at the expense of 400,000 lost lives. This podcast from the NYT Daily gives the best update I’ve found. What to expect next?? Click here to listen: http://nyti.ms/3qPb2sO

From the NYT: The number of new coronavirus cases in the United States is falling, but does that mean the country has turned a corner in the pandemic?

There is an awful reality behind the decline: As the virus has run through the U.S., it has infected a third of the population, according to most epidemiological models, and killed over 400,000 people in the country.

And the downward trajectory may not last, as the threat posed by new virus variants looms large.

Today, we discuss the latest in the quest to stamp out the coronavirus.

Posted in Health | 1 Comment

Voting your head or saving your …

Political Cartoon U.S. GOP capitol riot trump impeachment
Posted in Politics | Comments Off on Voting your head or saving your …

A bright light for the future

Amanda Gorman with James Corden – an interview. Thanks to Mary Jane F.

Posted in Advocacy, Race, Social justice | Comments Off on A bright light for the future

Birds can dance

Thanks to Donna D.

Posted in Animals, Dance, Nature | Comments Off on Birds can dance

So what are they?

New Yorker Cartoons
Posted in Humor | Comments Off on So what are they?

Fauci on What Working for Trump Was Really Like

Ed Note. Anthony Fauci is a national hero. He did not resign even when he and his family were receiving death threats. This interview gives a glimpse of the integrity of this amazing scientist and human being.

Dr. Fauci delivered remarks on the coronavirus last April during a daily White House briefing, as President Donald Trump looked on.

By Donald G. McNeil Jr.

For almost 40 years, Dr. Anthony S. Fauci has held two jobs. As director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, he has run one of the country’s premier research institutions. But he has also been an adviser to seven presidents, from Ronald Reagan to, now, Joseph R. Biden Jr., called upon whenever a health crisis looms to brief the administration, address the World Health Organization, testify before Congress or meet with the news media.

For Dr. Fauci, 80, the past year has stood out like no other. As the coronavirus ravaged the country, Dr. Fauci’s calm counsel and commitment to hard facts endeared him to millions of Americans. But he also became a villain to millions of others. Trump supporters chanted “Fire Fauci,” and the president mused openly about doing so. He was accused of inventing the virus and of being part of a secret cabal with Bill Gates and George Soros to profit from vaccines. His family received death threats. On Jan. 21, appearing in his first press briefing under the Biden administration, Dr. Fauci described the “liberating feeling” of once again being able to “get up here and talk about what you know — what the evidence, what the science is — and know that’s it, let the science speak.”

In an hourlong conversation with The New York Times over the weekend, Dr. Fauci described some of the difficulties, and the toll, of working with President Donald J. Trump. (This interview has been condensed and edited for clarity.)

When did you first realize things were going wrong between you and President Trump?

It coincided very much with the rapid escalation of cases in the northeastern part of the country, particularly the New York metropolitan area. I would try to express the gravity of the situation, and the response of the president was always leaning toward, “Well, it’s not that bad, right?” And I would say, “Yes, it is that bad.” It was almost a reflex response, trying to coax you to minimize it. Not saying, “I want you to minimize it,” but, “Oh, really, was it that bad?”

And the other thing that made me really concerned was, it was clear that he was getting input from people who were calling him up, I don’t know who, people he knew from business, saying, “Hey, I heard about this drug, isn’t it great?” or, “Boy, this convalescent plasma is really phenomenal.” And I would try to, you know, calmly explain that you find out if something works by doing an appropriate clinical trial; you get the information, you give it a peer review. And he’d say, “Oh, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, this stuff really works.”

He would take just as seriously their opinion — based on no data, just anecdote — that something might really be important. It wasn’t just hydroxychloroquine, it was a variety of alternative-medicine-type approaches. It was always, “A guy called me up, a friend of mine from blah, blah, blah.” That’s when my anxiety started to escalate.

Did you have any problems with him in the first three years of his presidency?

No, he barely knew who I was. The first time I met him was in September 2019, when they asked me to come down to the White House, bring my white coat and stand there as he signed an executive order regarding something about influenza. Then, starting in January, February of 2020, it was an intense involvement going down to the White House very, very frequently.

There was a point last February when things changed. Alex Azar was running the White House Coronavirus Task Force, and then suddenly Mike Pence was, and President Trump was at the podium taking the questions and arguing with reporters. What happened?

Posted in Health, Politics | Comments Off on Fauci on What Working for Trump Was Really Like

First Hill community news

Posted in Advocacy, In the Neighborhood | Comments Off on First Hill community news

Filing Suit for ‘Wrongful Life’

Ed note: I’ve often been asked, “Is my POLST legally binding; will it be followed?” Although the POLST is a set of legal medical orders (signed by you and your medical provider), there are situations where things go awry.

By Paula Span in the NYT

Gerald and Elaine Greenberg married in 1976, as dental students. They practiced on Long Island and in Manhattan and raised two sons. Then in 2010, she noticed that her husband, the math whiz, was having trouble calculating tips in restaurants. “He just didn’t seem as sharp,” she said.

The devastating diagnosis from a neurologist: early-onset Alzheimer’s disease.

“We knew what could be ahead for him,” Elaine Greenberg said. “He didn’t want to lie there with tubes and diapers. That’s not how he wanted to end his life.”

Together, they called a lawyer and drew up advance directives in 2011. “We gave it a lot of thought,” she said. His directive was very specific: If he became terminally ill, permanently unconscious or seriously and irreversibly brain damaged, he wanted comfort measures only. No cardiac resuscitation or mechanical respiration. No tube feeding. No antibiotics.

Gerald Greenberg died in 2016 — and a recent lawsuit brought by his widow charges that when he was unresponsive and near death from sepsis at Montefiore New Rochelle Hospital in Westchester County, the hospital and an attending physician there failed to follow his directive.

The suit alleges that they also disregarded a New York State MOLST — medical orders for life-sustaining treatment — form and his spouse’s explicit instructions to a doctor who called to seek her guidance.

Medical records show that her husband received antibiotics and other unwanted treatments and tests. The suit charges that he survived for about a month in the unresponsive state that he had sought to avoid. (A Montefiore spokesman said the hospital could not comment, given ongoing litigation.)

“They made the end of his life horrible and painful and humiliating,” Dr. Greenberg said. “What’s the sense of having a living will if it’s not honored?”

Lawsuits charging negligence or malpractice by hospitals and doctors typically claim that they have failed to save patients’ lives. More recently, though, some families have sued if providers failed to heed patients’ documented wishes and prevented death from occurring.

“In the past, people have said, ‘How have we harmed you if we kept you alive?’” said Thaddeus Pope, a professor at the Mitchell Hamline School of Law in St. Paul, Minn., who follows end-of-life legal cases. “Now, courts have said this is a compensable injury.”

The campaign to persuade people to document end-of-life instructions goes back decades, but it remains an uphill battle. A 2017 analysis of 150 studies, involving nearly 800,000 Americans, found that among those over 65, only 45.6 percent had completed an advance directive, including barely half of nursing home residents.

But recent evidence suggests that those proportions have climbed during the coronavirus pandemic. The crisis has made such questions less abstract and the need to honor documents more urgent.

Patients themselves may bear some responsibility for mix-ups. Advance directives go astray, get locked in desk drawers, become so outdated that designated decision makers have died. Or they use language like “no heroic measures,” so vague that “it’s hard for doctors to comply with,” Mr. Pope said.

The state MOLST or POLST (portable orders for life-sustaining treatment) forms strive to make the decisions concrete by providing detailed documentation of patients’ wishes and functioning as physicians’ orders. Studies in Oregon and West Virginia have demonstrated the forms’ effectiveness, but as several of these cases show, that is not universal.

Is this helpful?

Sometimes — nobody has tracked how often — institutions overlook the documents in patients’ charts or ignore conversations with health care proxies. Doctors who doubt that a patient actually prefers to die may override the instructions.

“Their attitude is, ‘Nobody was hurt,’” said Gerald Grunsfield, the lawyer representing Dr. Greenberg. “But there was physical hurt, emotional hurt, a lot of hurt.”

In an interview four years ago, Mr. Pope noted that nobody at that point had received compensation from any “wrongful life” suit. Since then, several plaintiffs have received hefty payments, and courts have weighed in as well.

In Georgia, Jacqueline Alicea won a $1 million settlement from Doctors Hospital of Augusta and a surgeon there (from their insurers, more accurately). They had placed her 91-year-old grandmother on a ventilator, disregarding both Ms. Alicea’s instructions as her grandmother’s health care proxy and her grandmother’s advance directive. That meant Ms. Alicea had to eventually order that life support be removed, a wrenching decision.

Settlement amounts often remain confidential, but “we wanted this settlement to be shouted from the mountaintops,” her lawyer, Harry Revell, said. “We wanted it to have a deterrent effect on health care providers who think this isn’t important.”

The Alicea case, already being cited in other lawsuits, may have an impact because after the trial court denied a motion to dismiss it, the state’s Court of Appeals and its Supreme Court both ruled that the suit could proceed. The parties settled on the eve of a trial in 2017.

In Montana, a jury delivered what is believed to be the first verdict in a wrongful life case, awarding $209,000 in medical costs and $200,000 for “mental and physical pain and suffering” to the estate of Rodney Knoepfle in 2019.

Debilitated by many illnesses, Mr. Knoepfle had a do-not-resuscitate order and a POLST form in his records at St. Peter’s Health, Helena’s largest hospital. “He’d suffered more pain than anyone should in a lifetime and was comfortable with going, if it was his time to go,” said Ben Snipes, one of his lawyers.

But a medical team resuscitated Mr. Knoepfle — twice. Tethered to an oxygen tank, he lived another two years before dying at age 69. “The last few months, he was almost incoherent with pain, living in a hospital bed, getting morphine crushed into his pudding,” Mr. Snipes said.

Beatrice Weisman, 83, had been hospitalized after a stroke in 2013 when doctors at Maryland General Hospital found her turning blue and resuscitated her, an action that her advance directive and MOLST form specifically prohibited.

The Weisman family sued and in 2017 received a “satisfactory” sum through mediation, said Robert Schulte, their lawyer. He could not divulge the amount but said it had helped pay for seven years of round-the-clock care, until Ms. Weisman died last October.

A California case developed differently. Dick Magney had opted for palliative care, and his doctors were complying, until someone reported potential neglect to Humboldt County’s adult protective services agency. The county filed a petition to take over his health care, removing his wife as his decision maker, and ordered that Mr. Magney receive antibiotics he had earlier refused. At one point, the county won temporary conservatorship.

“It just led to him suffering longer,” said Allison Jackson, the lawyer representing Mr. Magney’s wife. Mr. Magney died in 2015.

A state appellate court ruled that the petition to remove Mr. Magney’s wife had been fraudulent. She eventually won more than $200,000 in reimbursement for lawyers’ fees and pursued a federal civil rights complaint, leading to a $1 million settlement from the county. Two lawyers representing the county now face disciplinary charges from the California state bar.

Such awards and rulings, and news coverage, have led more families to seek legal remedies and have encouraged lawyers to take such cases, said Mr. Pope, who is a consultant to the Montana lawyers and a testifying expert witness in the upcoming California disciplinary hearings.

Now similar suits are pending in Georgia, Maryland and New Jersey, in addition to two malpractice cases that Mr. Grunsfeld has brought against Montefiore in New York.

Lawyers for Montefiore have moved to dismiss the Greenberg suit; even if the court allows it to go forward, resolution could take years. But Dr. Greenberg and her sons are in it for the long haul, she said.

During the month her husband survived, after his directive would have permitted him to die, he lay unconscious, diapered, in restraints and moaning in pain, she recalled.

“He tried to make choices, and his choices weren’t respected,” Dr. Greenberg said. “I don’t want anyone else to go through what we went through.”

Posted in Health | Comments Off on Filing Suit for ‘Wrongful Life’

Olives

Thanks to Sybil Ann. Insensitive to all parties involved, but can we still smile?

Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment

Predictions from 1956 – an example of an interesting but false video!

Ed note: I was fooled, but not a sharp eyed resident who was suspicious and checked this out on Snopes. Here is the commentary on their web site:

This is not a genuine PSA from the 1950s. This video was created circa March 2020, and combines modern-day narration with a mash-up of archival footage. For example, one clip of a woman sipping from a cup was taken from the 1956 film “Tornado,” and the images of the house cleaning robot comes from the 1940s film “Leave It to Roll-Oh.”https://www.youtube.com/embed/_pflHCXz67c?rel=0

The biggest tell, however, comes in the final moments of this so-called PSA.

After making some suspiciously prescient comments — this fake PSA says that the world will face a new plague in 2020 — the film cuts to a commercial about Doeskin Napkins. (Interestingly, the Doeskin Napkins commercial appears to be real, and refers to a genuine product.)

When the PSA returns, the narrator informs the viewer that they are about to be told the “answer about how to avoid the deadly virus set to sweep the world.” Then, in a humorous turn of events, the video cuts to a screen that says “missing footage” before a second screen shows that this is the end of the PSA. 

This viral video is not a genuine PSA about avoiding the future plague, and was created as a joke. This video was made by YouTube user “RamsesThePigeon,” and the original upload was accompanied by a caption explaining that they “threw this together” from archival and public domain footage.

It’s hilarious to look back on what people from the 1950s thought the future would be like!

Archival and public domain footage was acquired from Archive.org.

Also, yes, I only threw this together because I wanted to have a video upload on February 29th.

Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment

Parting is such sweet joy

https://twitter.com/i/status/1352042645686689793
Posted in happiness | 1 Comment