How a Healthy Mind-Set Influences Longevity

Ed note: One day when I was still in medical practice, a woman let me know that she felt unable to move on from the grief of loosing her husband a few years back. We talked about options for trying to move forward and I casually mentioned the idea of volunteering. I didn’t see her for a few years, so I was a bit surprised to see her beaming when she came to my office. She said she found her release by volunteering at Sea-Tac helping travelers find their way through the maze there. Beyond that, she met someone now so important in her life.

A few qualities, including a sense of purpose, seem to have real benefits — especially as you age.

By Dana G. Smith in the NYT

Nan Niland, 72, worked as a dentist for 40 years. “It really was my self-definition,” she said. “Probably too much.”

When she retired in 2020, she settled into a routine of exercising, reading, sewing and spending time in nature. But after awhile, she began to crave a little more structure and purpose.

Then she read about the Newton, Mass., charity Welcome Home in a local newsletter. The organization serves as a home goods pantry, collecting and redistributing household items to families in need.

Today, Ms. Niland volunteers there about 15 hours a week. “I needed to feel like I was doing something other than pleasing myself,” she said.

Much has been written about how physical behaviors, like exercise, diet and sleep, contribute to a long and healthy life. But research suggests that, as you age, a positive mind-set — including optimism and a sense of purpose — can benefit your health and longevity, too.

Feeling that you are valued and have something to contribute to others, often called mattering, can help drive you toward positive health behaviors that influence longevity. “If you feel like you matter, you’re more likely to stay socially connected, to take care of yourself, to show up for others, to keep investing in life,” said Jennifer B. Wallace, the author of a new book, “Mattering.”

When Dr. Linda Fried worked as a geriatrician at Johns Hopkins Medicine early in her career, she realized that many of her patients were “legitimately feeling sick,” but the cause of their sickness stemmed from “not having a reason to get up in the morning.”

Dr. Fried, now a professor of epidemiology and medicine at Columbia University, started recommending that her patients volunteer at an organization that they care about. Not long after, she started her own volunteer program to study the potential benefits on older adults.

Dr. Fried found that people who volunteered increased their activity levels and felt physically stronger after several months of service. They also modestly improved their scores on tests of cognition and scored higher on a questionnaire assessing their feelings on legacy and making a difference in their community.

Volunteering isn’t the only path to mattering. Becoming a regular at a coffee shop, dog park or other third place can also help you feel more connected. “Finding environments where you feel like you matter, it’s protective against the loneliness and the lack of mattering that can creep in in retirement,” Ms. Wallace said.

Maintaining a positive outlook on life, and about aging in particular, also appears to benefit people in their later years.

A 2022 study found that women over 50 who scored highest on a measure of optimism lived, on average, 5 percent longer and had a greater chance of making it to age 90 than those who scored lowest. And a study published this month reported that adults 50 and up who had a positive attitude about getting older — saying they felt as useful or as happy as they did when they were younger — were more likely to maintain, or even slightly improve, on tests of physical and cognitive ability when tracked over 12 years.

Like with mattering, feeling positive about one’s future seems to affect a person’s health by influencing their behaviors, said Becca Levy, a professor of public health and psychology at Yale University who led the recent study. When someone feels they have something to look forward to, they’re more likely to follow medical advice, get more physical activity and maintain social connections. Dr. Levy’s research has shown that having a positive outlook on aging can even protect against stress, resulting in lower levels of cortisol and markers of inflammation.

Of course, getting older isn’t easy. Losing a loved one, having to navigate an illness or becoming a caretaker can all affect one’s sense of identity and perspective. Remaining optimistic in these types of situations isn’t about being in denial about the hard parts of life, said Deepika Chopra, a health psychologist and author of “The Power of Real Optimism.”

“It’s much more related, I think, to resiliency than it is to positivity,” Dr. Chopra said. People who are optimistic “see these setbacks as something that are temporary and that they have the ability to overcome.”

To help engender a sense of optimism, Dr. Chopra recommends being intentional about looking forward to something every day. That could be a walk outside, a conversation with a friend, even what you’re going to have for dinner.

“When people repeatedly imagine the future as limited or declining, which a lot of people aging do, the brain begins to kind of reinforce those expectations,” Dr. Chopra said. “But if we can consciously direct attention toward even something small, a small positive future moment every day,” she said, it trains the brain to anticipate that good things are still on the horizon.

Dr. Chopra’s grandfather, Madan Syal, embodies this attitude. He said he feels positive about getting older and enjoys playing cards with his wife every day. But what he’s really looking forward to is turning 100 this July.

Posted in Aging Sites, happiness, Volunteering | 1 Comment

Can we learn from past weeping?

And when he was come near, he beheld the city, and wept over it. Luke 19:41

Irony and tragedy — The crowds were cheering a political-military messiah they imagined would conquer Rome. Jesus knew the real battle was spiritual, and that their misunderstanding would lead to ruin. He foresaw the city’s coming destruction (which happened in 70 AD when Rome devastated Jerusalem).

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Being one of the “elderly”

Thanks to John R.

We are often called “the elderly,” but that quiet label hides a truth most people rarely pause to consider: we are the last living witnesses of a world that no longer exists.

If you look closely, you might notice gray hair, slower steps, or the quiet patience that time alone can teach. But if you truly listen to our stories, you will discover something far more extraordinary. We are not simply older people moving through the final chapters of life. We are the survivors of one of the most breathtaking transformations in human history — a generation that walked from the slow, deliberate rhythm of an analog world into the dazzling speed of a digital one.

Our journey began in a very different place.

Many of us were born in the 1940s, 1950s, and early 1960s, when the scars of World War II were still fresh across Europe and Asia and the world was slowly learning how to hope again. Cities rose from rubble. Families rebuilt lives after years of uncertainty. Childhood unfolded in ways that would feel almost unrecognizable to younger generations today. Our toys were simple: marbles played in dusty yards, hopscotch drawn on cracked sidewalks, checkers and cards gathered around kitchen tables while the smell of dinner filled the house. When the streetlights flickered on in the evening, it was the universal signal that childhood adventures were over for the day and it was time to go home.

There were no smartphones, no streaming videos, no endless scroll of digital distractions. Instead, we built our memories in the real world — with scraped knees, laughter echoing down neighborhood streets, and friendships that formed face to face, without the mediation of screens.

Music became one of the defining soundtracks of our youth. The 1960s and 1970s arrived like a wave of color and rebellion. We watched culture shift around us, carried by electric guitars and voices that dared to question the world. For many of us, gatherings like the legendary Woodstock Festival of 1969 symbolized something powerful: the belief that peace, music, and community could reshape the future. Hundreds of thousands of young people stood together in muddy fields, listening to artists who poured raw emotion into towering speakers known as the Wall of Sound. Those concerts were not merely entertainment; they were moments when strangers felt like a single generation singing the same hope under an open sky.

Education looked different then, too. Our notebooks were filled with handwritten notes carefully copied from chalkboards. Research required patience, long hours in libraries, and stacks of heavy books rather than a quick internet search. We learned to slow down and think through ideas because information did not arrive instantly. Mistakes were corrected with erasers and ink, not with the click of a delete button. (continued on Page 2 or here)

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The 50 best signs!

Thanks to Bob P.

On March 28, millions of people marched in peaceful “No Kings” protests across the United States and Europe, against the war in Iran and President Donald Trump’s actions.

Protesters march holding a large banner reading "NO KINGS! We demand democracy, not fascism!" in a city street

In cities like Minnesota, Los Angeles, and Washington, DC, in the US, and Rome, London, and Paris in Europe, people gathered shoulder-to-shoulder to show their resistance to the Trump administration — and their signs were remarkable. Here are some of the most impressive ones:

Crowd at a protest with a giant baby-shaped balloon resembling a politician. Signs read "Stop Trump, Save Democracy."

1.

A woman at a city protest holds a sign reading "They're eating the checks. They're eating the balances." Crowds are gathered around her

2.

Protest sign with an alligator illustration. Text: "See ya later, Alligator. At your trial, pedophile."

3.

Person holding protest sign depicting a public figure in a prison outfit behind bars. Crowd in background

4.

Sign depicting a character as a tater tot with blonde hair, labeled "Dick Tater Tot," holding a ketchup bottle

5.

Protesters hold signs condemning political figures with messages against fascism, sexism, and racism

6.

Sign showing a cartoon of a police officer escorting a figure with yellow hair in handcuffs, with "I HAVE A DREAM" text below

7.

Person holding a sign with bold text: "This is my resisting bitch face," in a crowd during a protest or rally

8.

Person in a lobster costume holds a sign saying "Wake up America!! We are ALL in HOT WATER," during a protest

9.

People march with a banner reading "Together We Rise," surrounded by colorful signs and butterfly motifs in a city protest

10.

Person holds a protest sign with "Please take them away!" featuring UFOs abducting figures. Crowd marches in city street

11.

Person in costume holds a sign reading, "GRIFTED $? ME? FAKE NEWS! WITCH HUNT!" at an outdoor event

12.

Protesters in a city street carry a large puppet with a menacing face and anti-corporate, political signs. Others hold various protest signs

13.

A sign at a protest reads "Free Balls for Republicans," with small balls hanging above it, suggesting a satirical message about political views

14.

People at a protest hold signs, one depicts a can labeled with a caricature of a political figure

15.

A poster showing a satirical scene of people with exaggerated lips having lunch at a long table, titled "Lunchtime at Mar a Lago."

16.

Protest sign reading "Ice in Margaritas, Not Airports!" with a colorful drawing of a margarita glass

17.

People holding a sign that reads, "TRUMP WORST SEQUEL EVER," at a street protest

18.

People holding protest signs: "I ❤️ Naps but I Stay Woke" and "Veto the Cheeto" during a street demonstration

19.

Older woman holding a sign that says "Call me Gran-Tifa, I'm here for them!" with a photo of children attached

20.

Two people hold anti-war signs, including a large peace dove with "War is Not the Answer" and a sign stating "End the war on Iran!"

21.

People coloring a large Constitution replica; a woman holds a sign depicting Trump and says "Don't Drink the Cult Kool-Aid."

22.

Protester holding a satirical sign of a caricatured male figure on a rocket. The sign reads "No War No Mad Kings." Crowd in the background

23.

Protesters holding signs advocating for equality and diversity in a rally, with an American flag in the background

24.

Person in a clown costume holds "LIBERTY" sign in front of a large government building, wearing a red, 1776-themed outfit

25.

Sign with Statue of Liberty hands reads, "What fresh horror do we have today?" in bold text

26.

Person in winter clothes holds a sign reading "This is what epic fury looks like" at a city protest

27.

Protester holds a sign reading, "It's a combover, not a crown," with an illustration of hair and a crossed-out crown

28.

A performer in an ornate black and gold costume with a headdress made of tubes holds a sign saying "No Kings" during a street protest

29.

Protesters hold signs, including one with a meme questioning war funding over healthcare spending

30.

Large George Washington puppet with "Resist!" sign at a protest; a crowd gathers in the background

31.

A person holds a sign with an illustration of an elderly woman, wearing curlers, and text saying, "I AM AUNT TIFA," among protestors with other signs

32.

Woman holding a protest sign depicting a cartoon of a public figure in jail attire with the word "SAD" above it

33.

Person holding a protest sign reading "THE DEVIL WEARS FLORSHEIM" near the U.S. Capitol building

34.

Person dressed as a furry creature holding a sign protesting a "real-life imperial tyrant," blending pop culture with political commentary in a cityscape

35.

Two people hold protest signs with messages related to midterm elections while standing on a city street

36.

Dog on grass with a sign around its neck reading "I pee on dictators" with an image of a dog lifting its leg

37.

Person dressed as religious figure holding a protest sign that reads, "Who Would Jesus Deport?" in a crowd

38.

Two people holding a sign that reads, "The smallest man who ever lived," with a drawing of blond hair

39.

Protest sign on the ground reads, "You can't bomb your way out of the Epstein files." Nearby, other cardboard signs are partially visible

40.

People marching in a city street protest holding signs, including one that reads, "Fascism Runs on Fossil Fuels."

41.

Person in crowd holds a protest sign reading, "My country went to hell and all I got was a lousy ballroom."

42.

Person holding a protest sign reading, "No sign is big enough to list all the reasons I'm here," on a city street

43.

Man holding a sign that reads, "Credible journalists are not enemies, they are angels," in a public gathering

44.

People at a protest holding signs with messages against ICE and warnings about threat levels, surrounded by a diverse crowd

45.

Person in a crowd holds a protest sign reading "Better cabinets at IKEA," while wearing a black mask and red beanie

46.

A protest sign titled "The Shady Bunch" with nine photos of political figures in a grid

47.

Protesters hold a sign depicting a cartoonish figure resembling a former U.S. president behind bars during a demonstration in a city setting

48.

Person in vintage attire holds a sign referencing historical events; others stand with protest signs nearby

49.

A group of people in red cloaks and white bonnets hold a sign reading "No Kings in America" with a U.S. flag design

50.

A protest sign reads "No Kings. Yas Queens. Fuck Fascists" with colorful text and a drawn golden crown and hair
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Save Our Signs: A Crowdsourced Project to Combat Censorship at US National Park Sites

A flat lay of numerous handwritten thank-you notes and postcards praising "librarian superheroes" for the "Save Our Signs" project to record history and combat censorship.
Fig. 3. Postcards sent to Save Our Signs project leads based out of the University of Minnesota Libraries, September 3, 2025

Lena Bohman Molly Blake Jenny McBurney Amelia Palacios Henrik Schönemann in Panorama, Journal of the Association of Historians of American Art (thanks to Mary Jane F.)

National Park Histories at Risk

Over the past few months, the Trump administration has unleashed an alarming series of attacks on US cultural, arts, and historical institutions. On March 27, 2025, the administration released Executive Order 14253, “Restoring Truth and Sanity to American History.” This order took specific aim at the Smithsonian Institution in Washington, DC, singling out exhibits at the Smithsonian American Art Museum, the National Museum of African American History and Culture, and the planned Smithsonian Women’s History Museum. The administration demanded that the Smithsonian “remove improper ideology” within the institution’s museums, education and research centers, and National Zoo.1 On August 12, 2025, the Trump administration sent a letter to the Smithsonian Institution titled “Internal Review of Smithsonian Exhibitions and Materials,” which stated that “we will be leading a comprehensive internal review of selected Smithsonian museums and exhibitions. This initiative aims to ensure alignment with the President’s directive to celebrate American exceptionalism, remove divisive or partisan narratives, and restore confidence in our shared cultural institutions.”2

In addition to the Smithsonian, the executive order had another explicit target: the cultural sites under the jurisdiction of the Department of the Interior (DOI), including the National Park Service (NPS). The DOI was ordered to scrub any “content that inappropriately disparage[s] Americans past or living (including persons living in colonial times)” from its sites, which include public monuments, memorials, statues, and markers.3 On May 20, 2025, Interior Secretary Doug Burgum issued Secretarial Order 3431, also titled “Restoring Truth and Sanity to American History.” In this order, Burgum directed all NPS sites to perform an internal review of all their signage and additionally required these sites to post new signs asking the public to report “any signs or other information that are negative about either past or living Americans or that fail to emphasize the beauty, grandeur, and abundance of landscapes and other natural features.”4 Burgum laid out deadlines for interpretative signs to be changed to comply with the executive order.

Collectively, these documents reveal a chilling reality: the current US administration views existing practices of preservation and interpretation of history, culture, and art as an active threat. As Trump stated in Executive Order 14253,

It is the policy of my Administration to restore Federal sites dedicated to history, including parks and museums, to solemn and uplifting public monuments that remind Americans of our extraordinary heritage, consistent progress toward becoming a more perfect Union, and unmatched record of advancing liberty, prosperity, and human flourishing.5

In sum, these documents detail the administration’s goals to stifle works of culture and accounts of history that go against their chosen ideology and remove portions of history that, in the administration’s view, do not cast the United States in a good light.

While it may seem incomprehensible why this administration has chosen to attack an institution that has long been appreciated by Americans across the political spectrum, we can better understand when we remember that the National Park Service, established in 1916, is, in essence, the nation’s “largest outdoor history classroom.”6 While we may traditionally picture parks like Yosemite when thinking of National Parks, the NPS also includes National Historic Sites, National Monuments, National Battlefields, and more. Every NPS site, regardless of type, is designated by Congress and has a unique mandate to tell the story of the historic significance of that site. To meet this goal, each site displays interpretive signs and text to help visitors learn about the land and historic events in that location, connecting them to American history, often beyond what can be learned in a classroom.7 Creating interpretations for these sites is a long process that involves consultation with local community groups and stakeholders, consideration of accessibility for visitors with differing reading levels and disabilities, and incorporation of interactive activities and videos. (continue on Page 2 or here)

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The real king?

Thanks to Pearl McE.

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Signs for all

Please send in your own favorite! (thanks to John R.)

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Cherry blossoms in the Arboretum

If you happen to have a disabled parking pass, you’re allowed to drive on the restricted road in the upper part of the arboretum (plenty of parking and a restroom). There are still some lovely camelia blossoms as they near the end of their early bloom. Can’t wait for the azaleas and rhodys.

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‘Don’t think of the UK as unwilling to join your war, think of it as having bone spurs’ Starmer tells Trump

by Rich Smith in NewsTrump (thanks to Pearl McE)

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Join us for LIVE coast-to-coast coverage of the United States standing up against Trump’s corruption—because America doesn’t bow to kings.

Thanks to Pam P.

This Saturday, March 28, we’re broadcasting live from No Kings protests across the country.Three streams. Reporters and contributors embedded at multiple sites. More on-the-ground coverage than you’ll find anywhere else!What’s happeningThe list of reasons why we protest grows every day. Our friends at Indivisible, MoveOn, and The 50501 Movement say that over 3,000 events are planned, with millions expected to take to the streets to reject lawless authoritarianismbillionaire-first politics, and the militarization of our democracy.April Ryanwill take us through the day’s events aNo Kings protests in New Orleans, Kansas. October 2025.nd bring you on-the-ground protest coverage from all over the country.Jennifer RubinKatie Phang, and Tim Dickinson will be on the ground reporting from key protests in Minneapolis, Washington, D.C., and Portland — and we are working directly with organizers in dozens more cities to bring you coverage from across the nation.We’ll welcome some of our favorite Contrarians, including Norman Eisen, to talk about how we got here, what’s happening in major cities and small towns across America, and where we go from here.No Kings protests in New Orleans, Kansas. October 2025.How to find The Contrarian No Kings coverageWe will livestream 3 times throughout the day on Saturday, March 28:
3pm6pm, and 8:30pm ETThe shows will be available LIVE on contrariannews.org and on the Contrarian YouTube channel. You can join on desktop or mobile.Subscribers, whether you are free or paid, will get access to the stream links ahead of time, so stay tuned for an email with those details later this week.We will also post the shows after they air, so if you’re out protesting, you can catch up on all the happenings from across the U.S. when you get backHow can you help?Show up to a protest and find your fellow Contrarians! Find an event near you.Attend a No Kings training this week before the big day.Share this to help spread the word about the millions of people around the world who are standing up for democracy and don’t want to sit back while Trump’s fascism takes hold.
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Your medical problem is …

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How do I love thee, let me count the ways

Preparing for the No Kings march today?

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Treasury Announces President Donald J. Trump’s Signature to Appear on Future U.S. Paper Currency

Courtesy of Jimmy Kimmel (thanks to John R.)

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Less can be much much more–caveat emptor

When switching to a lower dose of this medication, a patient found that the cost for a three month supply increased from $24.88 for the 90 mg dose to $644.01 for the 60 mg dose. That’s about a 25 fold increase. No explanation could be found, but there was a solution. Following the insert directions it was discovered the 90 mg. pill could be crushed with a spoon and easily dissolved in a cup of water–then by simply drinking 2/3 of the cup the correct dose was achieved. Wonder if others have discovered this.

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Nostalgic for Nostalgia

Thanks to John R.

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Choosing a Career

Thanks to John R.

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Seniors at the Crossroads

Hello Friends, (thanks to Judy M.)

Join us for TWO Seniors at the Crossroads** demonstrations!

WHEN:  March 26—regular 4th Thursday demonstration, 8th & Madison, 4:30 – 5:30 pm

WHEN:  March 28Saturday–In support of the No Kings! rally and march.  We will demonstrate from 10:30-11:30, at 8th & Madison.  This timing will allow interested people to attend the noon No Kings! rally at Cal Anderson Park and the march from Cal Anderson to the Seattle Center.  This event is one of 3100 demonstrations across the country by those protesting the actions and policies of the government and attacks on our democracy. 

Bring your signs and voices!  Spread the word!

Seniors at the Crossroads Steering Committee

NOTICE:  please let us know if you don’t want to receive our emails and we’ll be happy to take your name off the mailing list

**Seniors at the Crossroads is an informal network of seniors who regularly gather at their nearby busy crossroads and intersections to use their First Amendment rights in defense of the Constitution, the Rule of Law, and Justice.  We call for a country that values and cares for all its people.  Twice a month, on the second and fourth Thursdays, our local group gathers for an hour, with home-made signs and our voices, to defend these principles.  We meet from 4:30 to 5:30 pm.

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Seattle galleries are abloom with flowers for spring’s arrival

by Brangien Davis in CascadePBS

A monumental tulip sculpture finds a new home at Seattle U. Plus, the local dance piece that ‘fractals into a vortex and veers into a grocery list.’

pring waltzes in with the vernal equinox tomorrow, but certain seasonal flowers have already sprung. Even a short, damp neighborhood walk reveals exuberant camellias, fluffy magnolias, bright daffodils and the pleasing punch-in-the-face scent of daphne odora.

On the Seattle University campus you can spot a giant specimen known as the “Seattle Tulip,” which was welcomed with a dedication ceremony on March 5. Featuring wavy green leaves and a bright red blossom, the 12-foot-tall enameled aluminum sculpture was created by Pop Artist Tom Wesselmann (1931-2004). You might recognize it.

The towering tulip was originally commissioned in 1988, by Wright Runstad & Company, to bloom outside their building at 999 Third Avenue (formerly Wells Fargo, currently the Docusign Tower). When the building was sold in 2019, the sculpture was dismantled and lay dormant — like a bulb — at Artech Fine Arts Storage in Renton. An anonymous group called “Friends of the Seattle Tulip” financed its return to the light, on the grass of the SU Union Green. 

“Seattle Tulip” will serve as a sunny welcome to the $300 million collection (courtesy of local donor Richard Hedreen) slated for SU’s forthcoming museum of art, opening in late 2028. (Continued on Page 2 or here)

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🗓️Recognizing World TB Day 2026

Each year on March 24, World TB Day is recognized globally to build public awareness around TB and recommit to ending the world’s deadliest infectious disease, which claims about 1.25 million lives annually. The date commemorates the 1882 discovery of Mycobacterium tuberculosis, the germ that causes TB, which at the time, killed 1 in 7 people in the United States and Europe.

If you want to read more, consider the best-seller “Everything is Tuberculosis” by John Green

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In the Final Analysis

Thanks to Diana C.

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Anyone’s fault but mine

Thanks to Pearl McE.

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Bone spurs

Thanks to Pam P.

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Hoisted on his own petard?

Thanks to Pearl McE.

Ed note about “petard” from AI: “A petard is a small, conical-shaped medieval bomb used to breach gates or walls by sappers, frequently prone to backfiring, which originated the phrase ‘hoist by your own petard’—meaning to be destroyed by one’s own trap. Originating in the 16th-century, the term comes from Middle French péter (to break wind), implying an explosive, ‘fart-like’ device.”

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Left Atrial Appendage Closure — Another Overused Method in Cardiology?

Ed note: There are a number of interventional procedures available to us that sound good, but are they really beneficial. The current New England Journal of Medicine gives fair warning that current research does not support a common procedure used in those of us who have atrial fibrillation. The side effects and death rates simply are unacceptable in many instances. It’s difficult to question a recommended procedure, but one question to ask your doctor –“So what do you make of this article in the NEJM?”

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Covid-19 six years later

by Katelyn Jetelina in Your Friendly Epidemiologist

Ed note: This is likely more that you want to know, but it’s an excellent summary of what we know and still don’t know.

Six years ago today, I put my baby in a camping carrier, strapped her on, opened my laptop on my dining room table, and started typing as fast as I could. I couldn’t believe how little communication existed that was timely, understandable, and actionable, with the humility and honesty the public deserved. So I tried to fill that gap, bringing my fellow faculty, staff, and students along for the Covid-19 journey in real time, signing every email the same way: Love, Your Local Epidemiologist. I told my husband I would only have to do this for six weeks. Surely someone would fill this gap… The rest is a blur (with many lessons learned along the way.)

March 22, 2020 during the lockdown. Strapped the baby in order to work from home. The start of YLE.
A lot has changed since then. I don’t do many deep dives on Covid-19 anymore because the landscape has dramatically changed for the better, but also because, honestly, it brings back some overwhelming emotions. But this anniversary matters not only so you can protect yourself from this virus that is still circulating, and not only to honor the 1.5 million people who died, but also because this moment deserves serious reflection.

So, six years later, this is where we stand.

A lot has changed, and continues to do so.


Covid-19 is no longer the third leading cause of death. In fact, it now carries roughly the same severity as the flu. While flu is nothing to brush off, this virus not being a top killer is genuine relief.

Data from CDC; Annotated by Your Local Epidemiologist.
Even better news: Peaks are getting smaller and smaller. Each successive wave has been lower than the last, a pattern reflected in almost every metric, including hospitalizations (see below). This isn’t surprising: as our collective immunity builds, the virus has a harder time breaking through. SARS-CoV-2 continues to evolve along the same narrow path, which is unusual but very helpful in reducing the number of people with the disease. The Covid-19 cousins we call coronaviruses are now responsible for the common cold, and there’s a hypothesis that this virus may eventually follow the same path. We are clearly not there yet, as hospitalization rates tell us, but the trajectory is meaningful.

Covid-19 Hospitalizations per 100,000. Source: CDC; Annotated by Your Local Epidemiologist.
Interestingly, seasonality has recently shifted. We now reliably see two waves each year: one in winter, one in summer. But nationally over the past two years, the summer wave has been larger than the winter wave (see above). We don’t know why.

Unfortunately, vaccination rates continue to fall. Roughly 3.5 million fewer older Americans were vaccinated this year compared to last year. That means 3.5 million people in the highest-risk group are now less protected from a largely preventable disease. With all the federal vaccine confusion, I expect this to continue to decline. (continued on Page 2 or here)

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